What was looking like the possibility of a ‘risk on’
day has turned into a big nothing done. Even a better than expected
University of
Michigan Consumer Confidence number
could not garner any kind of thrust to the upside. The headlines out of
Europe continue to be bi-polar and problematic. Much was
made of headlines out of Technocrat Mario Monti who said the German Chancellor
was boxed in on Eurobonds. Today the Dutch confirmed they are also against the
idea of Eurobonds until countries get their respective fiscal houses in order. So
it sounds like Mr. Monti may find himself boxed in instead. German Consumer
Confidence was a touch better, again no real reaction. Headlines out of
Spain were
garnering most of the attention. Unfortunately for the beleaguered
Euro , Spain
is a much bigger problem then the Greeks. The common currency briefly touched
levels not seen since August 2010. King Copper continued its bearish
streak down for a fifth consecutive week. It’s longest losing streak
since May 2010. The parallels to the summer of 2010 are becoming all too
common. U.S markets will be closed for the Memorial Day holiday on Monday. The
rest of the globe will be open for business. Sunday night will see the release
of China ’s
Leading Index. The prior reading was 100.52. Can anyone say reserve cut in
Cantonese? A heavy dose of data will come out of
Japan on Monday, including Jobless
data and Retail Sales. U.S.
traders will head back to work on Tuesday and the docket will be full. German
CPI, Case-Shiller, Consumer Confidence and Dallas Fed Manufacturing will all be
released. Can we break the current trend of negative Friday’s as the
whole month of May has seen a red candle to end the week? As ‘risk off’
and Friday’s have become synonymous. Currently the market looks like it
will be content to take its ~2% rally on the week and head to the boardwalk! Obviously
liquidity may dry up as we head into the close and outsized moves could be made
on very little volume. Have a wonderful holiday weekend. Remember the real
meaning of the holiday and thank those who have so valiantly served so that we
may remain free. Ancient Greek historian Thucydides rapped it up nicely; “The
secret of happiness is Freedom, and the secret of Freedom, Courage.” Enjoy.
Regards,
Eric J. Schumacher
Direct Floor: 212.968.9333 | Fax: 212.952.0002
11 Wall St. Booth A6,
Manhattan NY
10005
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