Thursday, May 24, 2012

Mid Day Update

(NTAP) Worked well short all am from the 29 level at the open - reference AM post
(HPQ) Worked well short - trended straight down into the overnight gap after Faber grilled Whitman earlier on CNBC pre market
(MTGE) Filling the overnight gap slowly on the secondary dilution event 

DISCLOSURE: Long (MTGE) Short (NTAP)




Mid day update from the Floor:

Europe closes near session highs in spite of the very confusing headlines and macro data which were released. European PMI’s as well as German Confidence came out worse than expected. Many were hoping a speech by ECB Chief Mario Draghi would give a clearer picture as to what the next move the Central Bank would make. JP Morgan has stated LTRO # 3 as well as a rate cut are in store before July. Mr. Draghi would have none of it. Like a champion poker player his cards are well hidden. He went as far as to say the effects of the first two LTRO’s have not fully been digested by the system. The technocratic leader of Italy , Mr. Monti said Eurobonds were close at hand. The market found its sea legs and ripped on the headline, only to have it refuted within twenty minutes time by a lieutenant of the German Chancellor. So as we have seen in the past there is no continuity in the statements coming out of continental Europe . So what has changed you may ask? The Bank of Russia even chimed in and said the Greeks have plans for a parallel currency, if need be. Makes you wonder will the Greeks tie their future currency to that of another nation, possibly the Ruble? Is this the new way communism and socialism will advance across continents? Remember the nasty old Cold War days when country borders were heavily fortified by barbed wire, walls and tanks? I know, I know this is stuff of spy novels! Forgive me for questioning the new world order. Meanwhile, back at the ranch, Markit released their first version of a US Flash PMI. Surprise, surprise it showed a contraction, 53.9 versus 56 prior. One more data point which shows the world economy is showing signs of slippage no matter how much pump priming goes on. The coordinated variety may be on tap next, keep your fingers crossed! The good news tomorrow is Friday. A three day weekend beckons. The calendar will look to German GFK Consumer Confidence, as well as a scheduled German vote on the ESM on the continent. US data will consist of University of Michigan survey at 9:55, and then we coast into the weekend.  Another day of twist and turns on the global stage. Have a wonderful day.
 
 
 
 
Regards,
 
Eric J. Schumacher

Pre Market Movers

(MTGE) American Capital Mortgage Shares Slide 3% on 10 Million Share Offering May 23 at 16:19
(NTAP) Bad Miss - Several downgrades - Well off last nights post market lows of 24.83. Trading -$5.00 at  $27.7
(HPQ) MARKET TALK: Cost Cuts To Drive HP, Not Sales Growth May 24 at 06:49 -  Gap-ping up at $22.65 and filling
(DOW)  Dow Chemical awarded $2.16B in K-Dow arbitration May 24 at 08:42


 DISCLOSURE: Long (MTGE) (DOW) Short (HPQ) (NTAP)

Wednesday, May 23, 2012

Mid Day Update

Positions
(DELL) Short - Huge relative weakness - Compressing lows in this 50 point dow rally off lows. $12.17 fib targets to cover
(PETM) Long all day - expansion Fibonacci target $62.99
(MS) Short all day - compressing lows in this last spys push....

Pre Market Movers

(JPM) Both political parties upset with JPMorgan, WSJ reports May 23 at 06:22
(MS)  WSJ(5/23) Inside Fumbled Facebook Offering - Trading down .25c pre market
(GES)  Guess?: Bloomberg discusses that GES may be an attractive takeover target, according to reports      Stock Price: 24.44) price target raised to $37 from $35 at Brean Murray May 23 at 07:34 - Guess traded from minus to plus on a negative earnings guide last evening in the post market.
(EUO) Highest level in 23 months



Saturday, May 19, 2012

Weekend Barron's Update

(FB) Barron's(5/21) Facebook Flops: Look Out Below!
(JCP) Barron's(5/21) A Return Visit To Earlier Stories: Penney's Future Is Still In The Future
(CLX) Barron's(5/21) Speaking Of Dividends: Clorox Cleans Up
(JPM) Barron's(5/21) An Upbeat View From JPMorgan's Private Bank
(DLTR) Dollar Tree has growth on the horizon, Barron's contends
(JPM) WSJ says J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. is struggling to extricate itself from disastrous wagers by traders such as the "London whale,

Wednesday, May 16, 2012

Todays Pre Market Headlines

(FB)- Facebook to increase IPO size 25%, CNBC reports, citing sourcesMay 16 at 06:18
(FOSL): Upgraded - JAGNote by CitigroupMay 16 at 07:45 -       FOSL: Upgraded - The firm upgraded shares from Neutral to Buy.
(JCP)  J.C. Penney price target lowered to $31 from $35 at GoldmanMay 16 at 07:47Profile hits: QU2 - Very Weak in the pre market -Down -$5
(SINA) price target lowered to $82 from $92 at Brean Murray
May 16 at 08:00 - Very strong in the pre market up $5.42
(RENN) Renren Trims Q1 Loss; Beats on Revs, Profit - Shares Spike 9.5%
May 15 at 10:40
 


Monday, May 14, 2012

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/groupon-jumps-as-results-beat-estimates-2012-05-14

(FB) FaceBook - IPO on Friday - Sympathy Stocks to Watch

(GSVC) Currently trending up into after a strong secondary offering on Friday
(SVVC) Loo'sk higher thru the 28.50 level
(RENN) Renren inc. trading strong into the pm. Quarterly EPS after the bell tonight
(LNKD) Trading higher up $4 just below the $110 level

DISCLOSURE: No Relevant Positions

Wednesday, May 9, 2012

$ HLF trades off in the pre market



DISCLOSURE - short $44.6 pre market

Monday, August 8, 2011

The Week Ahead - AM Noteables

 AM Noteables: Focusing on Upgrades Today's with the big overnight gap down in the SP Futures. Also, minus to plus strength.


(KLAC)
7:50a KLA-Tencor Raised To Overweight From Equalweight By Morgan
Stanley >KLAC

Wells Fargo (WFC)
Raised To Buy From Neutral By Sterne Agee >WFC

Jones Group Inc. (JNY)
upgraded to Neutral from Sell at Goldman

Weight Watchers (WTW)
8:23a (T3) Tim_K:  Weight Watchers ests raised at Wedbush on Q2 beat andraise driven by solid momentum in meeting and onlinebusinesses; target lowered to $79
8:24a (T3) Tim_K:  Weight Watchers upgraded to Buy from Hold at Capstone
8:24a (T3) Tim_K:  Capstone upgraded Weight Watchers based on valuation. Price target loweredto $71 from $75.