Wednesday, February 26, 2014

Tesla, Panasonic in talks on $1 Billion Factory

Disclosure: Long $TSLA 

  By Mike Ramsey
Panasonic Corp., now the primary battery supplier for Tesla Motors Inc.'s $71,000-and-up electric cars, is in talks about investing in a nearly $1 billion battery factory in the U.S., according to Japanese business newspaper the Nikkei.
Panasonic said in a statement it was "considering various options to strengthen our ties" with Tesla (TSLA) .
Tesla shares hit a record high of $248 on Tuesday ahead of an expected announcement of the battery-production partnership, in which the company would carve out a business making advanced batteries for itself and others.
Panasonic shares were up 7% in early trading in Tokyo on Wednesday.
Tesla this week is expected to announce with corporate partners a plan to build a factory that would produce finished batteries from raw materials instead of components, lowering its costs.

Morgan Stanley auto analyst Adam Jonas said in a note on Tuesday the company "could become the world's largest producer of Li-ion batteries" based solely on its own automotive needs. He said Tesla could also supply batteries for energy storage for electric power suppliers.  

Tuesday, February 25, 2014

Tesla Shares Surge on Morgan Stanley Report -- WSJ Blog

Disclosure: Long $TSLA on the bell at $236

Feb 25 at 09:51

By Mike Ramsey

      Tesla Motors Co. might be on the verge of disrupting two industries,
warranting a share price of $320, says Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas, in a
note to investors released Tuesday.
      It's shares surged 11% to $241.18 in early trading on the Nasdaq after
Mr. Jonas released his note.
      That new share price target is up from $153. Its shares have surged
following an adjusted $46 million fourth-quarter profit and reports of rising
production capacity and demand.

Sunday, February 23, 2014

Netflix, Comcast announce multi-year interconnection agreement

Feb 23 at 13:22      

      Comcast (CMCSA, CMCSK) and Netflix (NFLX) announced a mutually beneficial
interconnection agreement that will provide Comcast's U.S. broadband customers
with a high-quality Netflix video experience for years to come. Working
collaboratively over many months, the companies have established a more direct
connection between Netflix and Comcast, similar to other networks, that's
already delivering an even better user experience to consumers, while also
allowing for future growth in Netflix traffic. Netflix receives no preferential
network treatment under the multi-year agreement, terms of which are not being

Saturday, February 22, 2014

Aging Facebook's $19 Billion Bid For A Fountain Of Youth -- Barron's

By Tiernan Ray

      (FROM BARRON'S 2/24/14)
      After Wall Street finished choking on the news Wednesday night that
Facebook was spending $19 billion to acquire a five-year-old startup, calmer
heads stepped in to sort things out.
      Yes, WhatsApp's purchase price, a mixture of $12 billion of Facebook
(ticker: FB) stock and $4 billion in cash, plus $3 billion in restricted
stock units, was staggering, analysts admitted. The most bullish of them,
however, offered models rationalizing the price as a not-unreasonable fee to
acquire each of the 450 million users the service has amassed.
      That $19 billion represents $42 for each of those users, not far above
the nearest comparable, the $30 Facebook shelled out two years ago to buy the
picture-sharing service Instagram. Some point out, too, that the price was a
mere 9% above what Google (GOOG) paid per user to buy video-sharing service
YouTube in 2006, and quite a bit cheaper than the $131 per user that Twitter's
(TWTR) share price represents.

Friday, February 21, 2014

5 Penguins Downgrade Groupon $GRPN

Groupon tgt lowered to $12 from $16 at Deutsche Bank
following earnings (Stock Price: 10.28)
Feb 21 at 07:47

Groupon tgt to $11 from $13 at BofA/Merrill following
earnings (Stock Price: 10.28)
Feb 21 at 07:08

Thursday, February 20, 2014

$GRPN Guides higher on Revs - Not eps - Full Press release

Press Release: Groupon Announces Fourth Quarter -3-
Feb 20 at 16:09

      You should not rely upon forward-looking statements as predictions of future events. Although Groupon believes that the expectations reflected in the forward-looking statements are reasonable, it cannot guarantee that the future results, levels of activity, performance or events and circumstances reflected in the forward-looking statements will be achieved or occur. Moreover, neither
the company nor any other person assumes responsibility for the accuracy and
completeness of the forward-looking statements. The forward-looking statements
reflect Groupon's expectations as of February 20, 2014. Groupon undertakes no
obligation to update publicly any forward-looking statements for any reason
after the date of this release to conform these statements to actual results or
to changes in its expectations.
      About Groupon

William Blair on Citrix Systems, $CTXS

William Blair on $CTXS:

Bhavan Suri with intra-day comments on Citrix after receiving number of calls on activist interest. Bhavan has been hearing there is an activist shareholder building a position and that we could potentially hear of a material stake in the near/medium term. Our best guess is that these activist will be looking to: 1) drive up margin by cutting out the fat – SaaS business would be the focus as well as working to consolidate SG&A; 2) spinning out businesses to create value – maybe the SaaS biz gets spun out or sell NetScaler (but board would clearly not be for that); 3) push to have cash used for buybacks or possibly a dividend; and/or 4) look to influence the selection of a new CEO.

Tesla $325 Target - 5 Major Upgrade's

Tesla price target raised to $325 from $200 at Dougherty
Feb 20 at 08:30

Tesla Motors target raised to $220 from $190 at Jefferies;
Buy Feb 20 at 06:29

Tesla Motors tgt raised to $245 from $215 at Robert W. Baird
 Feb 20 at 06:24

FBR Capital Initiates Coverage of Tesla At
Market Perform, $150 PTFeb 19 at 15:29

Tesla downgraded to Hold from Buy at Deutsche Bank P/T
 raised $220 from $200. Feb 20 at 05:44

Wednesday, February 19, 2014

Five Day Essential Equities Trading Curriculum

Last Quarter's Archive Available - Recorded in February
Time: 60-90 minutes per session

Five Day Essential Equities Trading Curriculum 

The course offers in-depth topic reviews and pointers, and Tim will be using trading simulations to review recent events in the markets and how they pertain to these fundamental topics. If you are a beginner or even a seasoned veteran trader, don't miss this rare opportunity to review these essential topics that apply to most successful traders in our constantly evolving, dynamic market. 
Topics to be covered include:

Day 1: Equities Trading Introduction
* TimKCorps Trading's approach
* Realistic time frames and goals
* Determining if this is suitable for you
* Designing a realistic game plan
* Probation period required

Day 2: Understanding Risk
* Defining trade-ability
* Defining risk as it relates to your equity
* Identifying the three basic types of trading
* Defining your style
* Building a game plan

TimKCorp's Online Trading Room

TimKCorp's Online Trading Room
Meeting URL:  

In efforts to provide the most effective service possible we are using our New and Improved - Delay Free broadcast platform. Room will be open from 7:30 AM until 7 PM est. daily Monday - Friday

This enhanced broadcast will display my trading platform, trading desk video, current position's, in addition to internal private chatting for personalized one on one communication. 

This private broadcast cut-over invitation is specifically for TimKCorp's current members 
Call or email any questions to All membership fees will be waived until further notice.

AM Pre Market Meeting Begins at 9:00 AM est daily

Thank you for your continued support and patronage....Tim_K

Tuesday, February 18, 2014

King Digital, in IPO Filing, Crushes It on Revenue - Full WSJ Article

Disclosure; Long $ZNGA

King Digital, in IPO Filing, Crushes It on Revenue,
Profit -- WSJ Blog
Feb 18 at 08:40

By John Edwards,

      By Sven Grundberg and Niclas Rolander
      Anglo-Swedish game developer King Digital Entertainment, the maker of
"Candy Crush Saga," lifted the curtain on its financials in a filing for a U.S.
listing on Tuesday, showing who's really the monarch of the mobile-games
industry--at least when it comes to revenue.
      In its filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission Tuesday,
the game developer said it saw a more than tenfold revenue increase in 2013, as
sales skyrocketed to $1.88 billion from $164 million in 2012.
      By comparison, Zynga, maker of "FarmVille," had revenue last year of $873
million, while Finland's Supercell, maker of "Clash of Clans," reported revenue
of $892 million.

Friday, February 14, 2014

GNC Holdings downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman

Disclosure Short $GNC

GNC Holdings pullback a buying opportunity, says JPMorgan
Feb 14 at 07:21

      JPMorgan recommends buying the post-earnings sell-off in shares of GNC
Holdings. The firm lowered its price target for shares to $58 from $62 and
keeps an Overweight rating on GNC.

GNC Holdings downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman
Feb 14 at 07:07

      Goldman downgraded GNC Holdings following the Q4 miss citing reduced
margin visibility and momentum. Price target lowered to $54 from $72.

AIG price target lowered to $56 from $60 at Barclays

Disclosure: Short $AIG Pre market

AIG price target lowered to $56 from $60 at Barclays
Feb 14 at 07:19
Profile hits: QU2

      Barclays lowered AIG estimates to reflect slower than expected P&C margin
improvement. Shares are Overweight rated.

Tuesday, February 11, 2014

Five Takeaways from Janet Yellen's Testimony to Congress- WSJ's Hilsenrath

Five Takeaways from Janet Yellen's Testimony to
Congress- WSJ's Hilsenrath
Feb 11 at 08:52

By Jon Hilsenrath

      Janet Yellen tells the world to expect continuity in monetary policy in
her first report to Congress with her at the helm. Here are four quick
observations on her comments and on the report the Fed submitted to lawmakers:
      JANET YELLEN DOESN'T MINCE WORDS: Ben Bernanke's semi-annual testimony to
Congress tended to range from eight to 12 pages of text. Janet Yellen clocks in
with her first testimony at a little more than five pages of text. Her comments
are direct in addressing pressing questions. Will she stick with the policies
Mr. Bernanke authored? "Let me emphasize that I expect a great deal of
continuity in the (Fed's) approach to monetary policy." Is she worried about
recent turmoil in emerging markets? "Our sense is that at this stage these
developments do not pose a substantial risk to the U.S. economic outlook." The
days of central bank obfuscation - mastered by former chairmen like Alan
Greenspan -- are clearly over.

Saturday, February 8, 2014

Earnings Stocks to Watch - Weekly Calendar

We are starting to go over the hump of peak earnings season - however Wednesday is a big day for names in my universe. $CSCO is reporting after the bell and is expecting .46c /share. $NTES Netease is the same day, as is $NVDA Nvidia - expecting .18c/share. High Flying Social real-estate stock Zillow $Z reports Wednesday as well expecting .07c/share. 

Earnings Announcements for Monday, February 10

Barron's Boasting Twitter can go how low?

After the jobs # on Friday, $TWTR was trading at $50.25 - 
longs Friday AM were handsomely profitable and my most profitable name traded on Friday closing near highs at $54.5 I'm currently flat and looking forward to the reaction Monday if any to the negative Barron's piece below. One thing on Barron's, when their wrong you rarely here from them, as was the case with the $FB Facebook story calling for targets in the teens. Here they are getting a bit egotistical possibly - we will see the outcome in time
Thanks for checking....Tim_K

A Return Visit To Earlier Stories: Why Twitter Could Fall  
Further Lower
Feb 8 at 00:09    

By Andrew Bary

      (FROM BARRON'S 2/10/14)
      Aw, tweet! Shares of Twitter fell 11 points, or 17%, last week, to
$54.35, leaving them sharply below their December peak of $74.73, after the
company reported slowing growth in worldwide users in the fourth quarter,
raising doubts about whether Twitter can go mainstream. Worldwide monthly
average users totaled 241 million, up 4% from the prior quarter and below Street
      That spooked investors because Twitter (ticker: TWTR) needs enormous
growth to justify its huge valuation. The stock trades at 30 times projected
2014 sales, based on its enterprise value (market value less net cash) of $36
billion. That's double the price/sales ratio of Facebook and probably the
highest for any large company in the stock market.
      Twitter shares could be heading even lower, perhaps into the $30s.
      Barron's was bullish on Twitter prior to last November's initial public
offering, but we warned that investors shouldn't pay more than $30 for the
stock. After Twitter surged into the $60s, we wrote that its shares had reached
crazy levels ("Twitter: Priciest Stock Since the Dot-Com Bubble?" Dec. 30,

Sunday, February 2, 2014

Can Twitter Follow Facebook's Blowout? Earnings Highlights

Disclosure: No relevant positions

Monday:  Yellow Worldwide $YRCW reports expecting a loss of  $2.77/share - time not supplied - This stock can move and Ill be guarding it for volatility

Tuesday:  After the bell Buffalo Wild Wings $BWLD  is expecting $1.06/share. Its interesting they are reporting the week following the Super Bowl, which seems more than a coincidence for me and they seem to manipulate the media well to their advantage. Ill be paying attention to there conference call to see if they comment on the event.  See  Local businesses hope to cash in on big game - $BWLD

Wednesday:  Akami $AKAM reports after the bell expecting .52c/share. I'm paying attention as Barrons talked it up this weekend saying it has a 25% upside. See  Two Barron's Stocks to Watch 

Twitter $TWTR is the BIG name to watch over the week. Expecting a loss of .02c/share after the bell. I suspect it follows the same path as $FB last week - reports, blows out expectations - takes all time highs in the post - and has a line of clueless analyst lining up the next day with upgrades wondering WTF happened. I counted 15 upgrades 45 minutes before the bell following $FB earnings the next day - See: Facebook: The Penguins are lining up!

Earnings Announcements for Monday, February 3

Local businesses hope to cash in on big game - $BWLD

Feb 2 at 07:31

By Jordan Honeycutt, Sun Journal, New Bern, N.C.

      Feb. 02--Each winter, for sports fans everywhere, the "big game" rolls
around -- the Super Bowl.
      While many have massive mega-parties, others go to their favorite pub to
watch the game.
      New Bern has had its incumbent sports bar Half-Time Pub & Grub see some
new challengers in the past few months.
      The main one being nationally recognized chain Buffalo Wild Wings, which
opened in November at the New Bern Mall.
      Andrew Rochlus, operational manager at Buffalo Wild Wings in New Bern,
said that it will be 'just another day in the park' for their staff.

Saturday, February 1, 2014

Two Barron's Stocks to Watch Monday


Akamai $AKAM could rise over 25%, Barron's says

      Shares of Akami could gain 25%, driven by a growing revenue stream from an
increase of internet traffic through its servers, Barron's contends in a feature
article. [Reference

Ford Or GM: Which One Is The Better Buy? -- Barron's

By Jack Hough

      (FROM BARRON'S 2/3/14)
      U.S. car sales have bounced back to prerecession levels, and Ford Motor
and General Motors are prospering. Yet their shares trade at humble levels: 11
times this year's earnings forecast for Ford and nine times for GM, versus 15
times for the Standard & Poor's 500 index. Some discount is warranted because of
the boom-and-bust history of both companies, but the current one seems too
large, considering the improvements both have made to their cost structures,
balance sheets, and vehicle lineups. That makes Ford and GM seem likely to beat
the market from here.
      Choosing between them comes down to timing: Ford (ticker: F) is the
stronger company, but GM shares (GM) seem like the better bet in 2014. Ford had
a big head start in its recovery and has better cars and trucks and more
efficient manufacturing to show for it. This year, it's investing in new plants
and workers and a parade of new launches, 16 in North America, including a
radical remake of its lucrative F-150 pickup truck. The spending surge means
profits are projected to dip this year but jump in 2015. GM, meanwhile, is
hitting a sweet spot in its investment cycle, where past spending should pay off
with rapidly rising profits this year and next. GM shares could gain more than
30% over the next year, versus 20% for Ford. That doesn't include dividends;
both stocks pay 3.3%.